The 2016 US Election: Trump Can Win

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In one of the most unpredictable elections in decades, two of the most unpopular and divisive candidates in modern American political history, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, face each other at the ballot box in November.

The so-called fundamentals of the election, in a traditional contest with traditional candidates, should support a narrow Democrat win. However, with so much uncertainty around the two candidates and very high levels of undecided voters, no one is sure.

Since he entered and won the Republican Primaries last year Donald Trump now appears to be breaking many of the supposed rules of American presidential elections: spending less on the ‘ground’ campaign, gathering controversy and seemingly refusing to ‘pivot’ to the centre. From his controversial tweets to his promise to build a wall, Trump is doing it his own way. The big question is: can he win in 2016?

In this podcast, Professor Rob Singh, who has argued that we need to take Trump a little more seriously, looks at whether on 8 November 2016 Donald Trump can again confound his critics and the pollsters to become the 45th President of the United States.

Listen to Rob’s talk: